Alexander Draconis / Serynder
@SeryPuff · Nov 20, 2025
Elon is notoriously famous for misjudging timelines.
20 is likely closer to 40-50.
Elon Musk
@elonmusk
My estimates for schedules are at the 50th percentile, which means I should be early half the time and late half the time.
Anyone dumb enough to think the news is real will believe I am always late, because the “news” only reports when I am late and never when I am early.
What matters is looking at the actual progress of SpaceX, which will do ~90% of all Earth payload to orbit this year, or Tesla, which is worth more than the rest of the auto industry on Earth combined. That cuts through the bullshit.
05:53 PM · November 20, 2025 · 41.7K views
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